Skip to content

Causal ELI5#

Causal ELI5: Correlation vs Causal Models

Imagine you see people carrying umbrellas, and it often rains on those days.
Any human understands perfectly that umbrellas don't cause rain, while traditional AI might think umbrellas cause rain, even if it is not true. This is the difference between correlation and causation.

Causal ELI5: Ladder of Causality

Judea Pearl's Ladder of Causality has three levels: association (observing correlations), intervention (predicting effects of actions), and counterfactuals (imagining alternate outcomes). It's important because it shows that true causal understanding goes beyond data patterns, enabling reasoning about change and "what if" scenarios—essential for science, decision-making, and artificial intelligence.